UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
San Diego, USA
1 Aug 2010
Middleweight
VS
87%
Kimmons
13%
Steinbeiss
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kimmons
Kimmons is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kimmons has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Steinbeiss has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kimmons's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kimmons
Steinbeiss
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+75"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kimmons
Steinbeiss
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
2.4
43.7
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Kimmons
Steinbeiss
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
1
Body
7
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
0Distance9
6Clinch6
4Ground0
Kimmons
Steinbeiss
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
6.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kimmons
Steinbeiss
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/34 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Kimmons
Steinbeiss
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Kimmons
Steinbeiss
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kimmons
Steinbeiss
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KimmonsSteinbeiss
Strike Zones
Kimmons
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedSteinbeiss
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kimmons targets the head (70% of attacks) — Steinbeiss absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Steinbeiss targets the body (47% of attacks) — Kimmons absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kimmons
RND
Steinbeiss
0/0R00/0
Kimmons · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Steinbeiss · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Kimmons · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dongi YangRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · Sub · R2
Kyle NokeRating 2.8Submission
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
W · Dec · R3
Steve SteinbeissRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · KO · R3
Jorge RiveraRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · Sub · R1
Joe VedepoRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04
Steinbeiss · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09