METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Dallas, USA
19 Sept 2009
Lightweight
VS
69%
Lentz
31%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nik LentzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rafaello Oliveira · UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lentz
→
Actual result
Lentz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lentz holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Oliveira has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lentz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Lentz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lentz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LentzOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lentz
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+71"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lentz
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
7.2
45.3
Performance Avg
25.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
15
Lentz
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
30%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
8
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance5
1Clinch0
15Ground1
Lentz
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lentz
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
18
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/42 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Lentz
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Lentz
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lentz
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
LentzOliveira
Strike Zones
Lentz
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lentz targets the head (58% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lentz
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Lentz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Erik KochRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Yoislandy IzquierdoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R2
Yves EdwardsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauRating 2.8Submission
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05