METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Dallas, USA
19 Sept 2009
Lightweight
VS
69%
Lentz
31%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nik LentzwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rafaello Oliveira · UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lentz
→
Actual result
Lentz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lentz holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Oliveira has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lentz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Lentz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LentzOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lentz
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+71"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lentz
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
7.2
45.3
Performance Avg
25.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
15
Lentz
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
0.8
6.4
Style: Volume
8.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
6
8
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance5
1Clinch0
15Ground1
Lentz
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lentz
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
18
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/42 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Lentz
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Lentz
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lentz
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
LentzOliveira
Strike Zones
Lentz
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lentz targets the head (58% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lentz
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Oliveira · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Erik KochKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Yves EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
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