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UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Nashville, USA
8 Aug 2015
Flyweight
VS
49%
Ortiz
51%
Gates
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:58
DO
Dustin Ortiz
198
5'5"65" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
WG
Willie Gates
127
Knockout Artist2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'8"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Dustin OrtizwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:58
def. Willie Gates · UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gates
Actual result
Ortiz wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 49% vs Gates at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gates has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Risk flags

Gates has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
OrtizGates
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Ortiz
Gates
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
+72"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Gates
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
18.0
46.9
Performance Avg
46.0
40
Quality of Victory
60
45
Momentum Score
43
Ortiz
Gates
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
7.8
5.1
Style: Volume
0.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
45
Head
0
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
46Ground0
Ortiz
Gates
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortiz
Gates
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Ortiz
Gates
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Ortiz
Gates
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ortiz
Gates
Striking6.1 / 10.0Volume5.1 / 0.5Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Ortiz
Strike Zones
Gates
Ortiz
Attacking
45HEAD2BODY0LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Gates
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
45HEAD2BODY0LEGS47 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (96% of attacks) — Gates absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Gates targets the body (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ortiz
RND
Gates
0/0R00/0

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joseph Benavidez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus Nicolau
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre Pantoja
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector Sandoval
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon Moreno
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

Gates · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Yuta Sasaki
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R3
Dustin Ortiz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
W · KO · R1
Darrell Montague
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Sub · R3
John Moraga
Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12

News & Media

Dustin Ortiz · Willie Gates
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