UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Nashville, USA
8 Aug 2015
Flyweight
VS
49%
Ortiz
51%
Gates
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:58
DO
Dustin Ortiz
19 – 8
5'5"65" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
WG
Willie Gates
12 – 7
Knockout Artist2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'8"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gates

This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 49% vs Gates at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gates has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Striking split: Ortiz throws more volume but Gates connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Gates has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ortiz
Gates
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
+72"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Gates
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
18.0
47.8
Performance Avg
46.0
42
Quality of Victory
60
45
Momentum Score
43
Ortiz
Gates
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
55%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
45
Head
0
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
46Ground0
Ortiz
Gates
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ortiz
Gates
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Ortiz
Gates
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Ortiz
Gates
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ortiz
Gates
Striking6.1 / 10.0Volume5.1 / 0.5Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Ortiz
Strike Zones
Gates
Ortiz
Attacking
45HEAD2BODY0LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Gates
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
45HEAD2BODY0LEGS47 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (96% of attacks) — Gates absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Gates targets the body (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ortiz
RND
Gates
0/0R00/0

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W3.6L5.0W5.8W5.2W5.5L2013-112014-112016-122018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Gates · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.0L5.0W4.0L2.8L2014-122015-072015-082016-05
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

Gates · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
W · KO · R1
Darrell MontagueRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Sub · R3
John MoragaRating 4
Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12

News & Media

Dustin Ortiz · Willie Gates
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