Dustin Ortiz vs Willie Gates — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux

Nashville, USA

8 Aug 2015

Flyweight

49%

Ortiz

51%

Gates

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 2:58

Dustin Ortiz

19 – 8

5'5"65" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 17

Willie Gates

12 – 7

Knockout Artist2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'8"

CFR 18

★ Official Result

Dustin OrtizwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:58

def. Willie Gates · UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Gates

→

Actual result

Ortiz wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 49% vs Gates at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gates has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Striking split: Ortiz throws more volume but Gates connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Gates has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

OrtizGates

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Ortiz

Gates

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'5"

Height

+5'8"

65"

Reach

+72"

37+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Ortiz

Gates

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

17.2

18.0

47.8

Performance Avg

46.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Ortiz

Gates

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

0.9

43%

Strike Accuracy

55%

6.1

Striking Style Score (/10)

10.0

4 KOs

KO Finishes

1 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance1

0Clinch0

46Ground0

Ortiz

Gates

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

—

0.4

Sub Attempts / fight

—

1.2

Grappling Style Score (/10)

0.0

0.8

Wrestling Style Score (/10)

0.0

0:00

Control Time (this fight)

0:00

Reversals

Ortiz

Gates

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R3.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

14/27 fights

Chin rating based on

4/19 fights

Ortiz

Gates

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Sub · R2

Last 5

L · Sub · R2

L · KO · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Sub · R3

Ortiz

Gates

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ortiz

Gates

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

1.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

0.8

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.8

5.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.5

Ortiz

Strike Zones

Gates

Ortiz

Attacking

47 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Gates

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

47 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Ortiz targets the head (96% of attacks) — Gates absorbs 96% of strikes there

🎯Gates targets the body (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ortiz

RND

Gates

0/0R00/0

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1

WinLossTrend

Gates · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0

WinLossTrend

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01

W · KO · R1

Matheus NicolauRating 5.2

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07

W · Dec · R3

Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8

Decision

UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01

W · KO · R1

Hector SandovalRating 5

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08

L · Sub · R2

Brandon MorenoRating 3.6

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

Gates · Last 4

L · Sub · R2

Yuta SasakiRating 2.8

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

L · KO · R3

Dustin OrtizRating 4

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08

W · KO · R1

Darrell MontagueRating 5

KO/TKO

The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07

L · Sub · R3

John MoragaRating 4

Submission

UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12

News & Media

Dustin Ortiz · Willie Gates

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