UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta
Milwaukee, USA
15 Dec 2018
Lightweight
VS
47%
Gordon
53%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Gordon at 47% vs Silva at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gordon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gordon
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+69"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Gordon
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.1
47.9
42.8
Performance Avg
46.0
36
Quality of Victory
38
63
Momentum Score
67
Gordon
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
40
Head
27
1
Body
18
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
40Distance43
2Clinch8
0Ground0
Gordon
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gordon
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Gordon
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
67
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Gordon
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
43%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gordon
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
GordonSilva
Strike Zones
Gordon
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedSilva
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (95% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (53% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gordon
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Silva · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · KO · R2
Jesse RonsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

