UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
19 Feb 2022
Heavyweight
VS
92%
Porter
8%
Baudot
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Porter
Porter is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Porter has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Porter has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Porter's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Baudot has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Porter
Baudot
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+79"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Porter
Baudot
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.5
2.4
40.2
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Porter
Baudot
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.2
1.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
18
0
Body
5
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance23
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Porter
Baudot
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Porter
Baudot
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Porter
Baudot
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Porter
Baudot
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Porter
Baudot
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PorterBaudot
Strike Zones
Porter
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedBaudot
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Porter targets the head (58% of attacks) — Baudot absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Baudot targets the head (75% of attacks) — Porter absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Porter
RND
Baudot
0/0R00/0
Porter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Baudot · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Porter · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Junior TafaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Braxton SmithRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Justin TafaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Alan BaudotRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
Baudot · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Josh ParisianRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Parker PorterRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
Upcoming
Rodrigo NascimentoUFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10