METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Welterweight
VS
47%
Alves
53%
Barberena
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Bryan BarberenawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Warlley Alves · UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barberena
→
Actual result
Barberena wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 47% vs Barberena at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barberena has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesBarberena
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Barberena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Alves
Barberena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
43.3
49.3
Performance Avg
43.9
49
Quality of Victory
42
30
Momentum Score
76
Alves
Barberena
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
5.3
3.0
Style: Volume
4.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
49
4
Body
5
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
31Distance42
3Clinch20
0Ground0
Alves
Barberena
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Barberena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Alves
Barberena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
76
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Alves
Barberena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Barberena
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
AlvesBarberena
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
62 absorbedBarberena
Attacking
62 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (85% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Barberena targets the head (79% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Barberena
0/0R00/0
Alves · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R2
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