UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Welterweight
VS
47%
Alves
53%
Barberena
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Warlley
Warlley Alves
15 – 8
5'11"72" reachOrthodox35 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
Bryan
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
18 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'0"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barberena

This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 47% vs Barberena at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Barberena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alves's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Barberena has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Alves
Barberena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Alves
Barberena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
43.3
49.3
Performance Avg
43.9
49
Quality of Victory
42
30
Momentum Score
76
Alves
Barberena
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
49
4
Body
5
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
31Distance42
3Clinch20
0Ground0
Alves
Barberena
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alves
Barberena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Alves
Barberena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
76
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Alves
Barberena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alves
Barberena
Striking3.5 / 5.4Volume3.0 / 4.5Grappling3.6 / 2.0Wrestling2.5 / 1.4Submission3.8 / 1.1Pressure5.9 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Alves
Strike Zones
Barberena
Alves
Attacking
29HEAD4BODY1LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
49HEAD5BODY8LEGS62 absorbed
Barberena
Attacking
49HEAD5BODY8LEGS62 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD4BODY1LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (85% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Barberena targets the head (79% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alves
RND
Barberena
0/0R00/0

Alves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W5.2W6.3W5.9L6.6L4.5W4.2W2.8L5.5W3.6L5.0W4.1L5.8L3.2L6.3L2014-052016-052018-082021-062024-05
WinLossTrend

Barberena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W5.5L5.2W4.7W6.8L5.0W6.6L5.0W5.5L4.9L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.9W5.5W2.9L2.6L6.5L3.8L2014-122017-042020-092022-122024-03
WinLossTrend

Alves · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R2
Jeremiah WellsRating 4.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R1
Mounir LazzezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

Barberena · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

News & Media

Warlley Alves · Bryan Barberena
← Back to fights