Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Las Vegas, USA

11 Jul 2026

Featherweight

70%

Riley

30%

III

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 3:03

Luke Riley

13 – 0

5'9"69" reachOrthodox27 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist

CFR 75

Kai Kamaka III

"Da Fighting Hawaiian"

18 – 7

Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"

CFR 32

★ Official Result

Luke RileywinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:03

def. Kai Kamaka III · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Riley

Luke Riley wins by TKO at 3:03 of Round 1, extending his unbeaten record to 14-0…

→

Actual result

Riley wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

The unbeaten prospect's slow-start reputation never came into play — he simply steamrolled through the first round.

Luke Riley's undefeated record heading in came with a caveat scouts had flagged repeatedly: a tendency toward slow starts that occasionally let opponents establish wrestling control before he found his rhythm. None of that was on display here. Riley hurt Kai Kamaka III on the feet early and overwhelmed him with a finishing flurry, improving to a perfect 14-0 and extending one of the more underrate…

Riley intel

Riley (14-0) stays perfect with a first-round TKO, showing none of the slow-start tendencies that had occasionally troubled him against wrestling-heavy opponents.

III intel

Kamaka (18-8) suffers a stoppage loss in a fight where he was competitive early before getting caught and finished in a controversial-timing stoppage.

Key angles

Riley's reputation for slow starts not materialising against Kamaka

Controversial stoppage timing drawing criticism from commentary

Riley's case for a ranked opponent next after moving to 14-0

Kamaka's toughness-over-power style getting overwhelmed by Riley's speed

What this means for Riley's positioning in a stacked featherweight division

Risk flags

The stoppage controversy leaves some doubt about how the fight plays out if it's allowed to continue

Riley's historical slow starts against wrestlers remain unresolved as a question against a different style of opponent

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

RileyIII

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Riley

III

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"+

Height

5'7"

69"

Reach

69"

27+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Riley

III

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

74.7

31.9

68.0

Performance Avg

31.0

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Riley

III

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.7

/ 10

0.8

/ 10

7.7

Style: Pressure

1.2

4.7

Style: Volume

8.8

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

35Distance23

6Clinch0

2Ground0

Riley

III

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.8

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

0.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Riley

III

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

100

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.5 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

3/13 fights

Chin rating based on

6/25 fights

Riley

III

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

Last 5

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Riley

III

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Riley

III

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

8.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

0.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

1.2

4.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.8

Riley

Strike Zones

III

Riley

Attacking

43 landed

Absorbing

23 absorbed

III

Attacking

23 landed

Absorbing

43 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Riley targets the head (70% of attacks) — III absorbs 70% of strikes there

🎯III targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Riley absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Riley

RND

III

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Riley · Last 3

W · KO · R1

Kai Kamaka III

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Dec · R3

Michael Aswell Jr.

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

W · KO · R2

Bogdan Grad

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

III · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Luke Riley

KO/TKO

UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07

W · Dec · R3

Dakota Hope

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04

Upcoming

Danny Chavez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07

L · Dec · R3

TJ Brown

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05

L · KO · R2

Jonathan Pearce

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11

News & Media

Luke Riley · Kai Kamaka III

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