UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Las Vegas, USA
20 Feb 2021
Featherweight
VS
71%
Gordon
29%
Chavez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DC
CFR 17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gordon
Gordon is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gordon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gordon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gordon
Chavez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
68"+
Reach
67"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gordon
Chavez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.1
17.0
42.8
Performance Avg
28.3
36
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
33
Gordon
Chavez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
0.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
7
9
Body
2
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
22Distance10
4Clinch1
1Ground0
Gordon
Chavez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gordon
Chavez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Gordon
Chavez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gordon
Chavez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gordon
Chavez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
GordonChavez
Strike Zones
Gordon
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedChavez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (48% of attacks) — Chavez absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Chavez targets the head (64% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gordon
RND
Chavez
0/0R00/0
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Chavez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
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L · KO · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Chavez · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Ricardo RamosRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
Upcoming
Kai Kamaka IIIDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 4.5Decision
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