Marina Rodriguez vs Yan Xiaonan — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal

Las Vegas, USA

5 Mar 2022

Women's Strawweight

49%

Rodriguez

51%

Xiaonan

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Marina Rodriguez

17 – 6

5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 49

Yan Xiaonan

19 – 5

Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'5"

CFR 51

★ Official Result

Marina RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Yan Xiaonan · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Xiaonan

→

Actual result

Rodriguez wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 49% vs Xiaonan at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Xiaonan has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

RodriguezXiaonan

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Rodriguez

Xiaonan

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"+

Height

5'5"

65"+

Reach

63"

Age

+37

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Rodriguez

Xiaonan

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

48.6

51.3

41.7

Performance Avg

43.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Rodriguez

Xiaonan

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.9

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

3.6

Style: Pressure

2.7

6.8

Style: Volume

8.4

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

34Distance16

6Clinch2

0Ground0

Rodriguez

Xiaonan

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.7

/ 10

2.1

/ 10

1.2

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.5

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Rodriguez

Xiaonan

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.5 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

15/23 fights

Chin rating based on

14/24 fights

Rodriguez

Xiaonan

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · KO · R1

Rodriguez

Xiaonan

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

29%

11%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez

Xiaonan

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.4

1.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.1

1.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.5

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

3.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

2.7

6.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.4

Rodriguez

Strike Zones

Xiaonan

Rodriguez

Attacking

40 landed

Absorbing

18 absorbed

Xiaonan

Attacking

18 landed

Absorbing

40 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Rodriguez targets the head (70% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 70% of strikes there

🎯Xiaonan targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez

RND

Xiaonan

0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Gillian Robertson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

L · Dec · R3

Iasmin Lucindo

Decision

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

L · Dec · R3

Jessica Andrade

Decision

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

W · KO · R2

Michelle Waterson-Gomez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09

L · Dec · R3

Virna Jandiroba

Decision

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Xiaonan · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Denise Gomes

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08

L · Dec · R3

Virna Jandiroba

Decision

UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04

W · Dec · R3

Tabatha Ricci

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

L · Dec · R5

Zhang Weili

Decision

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

W · KO · R1

Jessica Andrade

KO/TKO

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

News & Media

Marina Rodriguez · Yan Xiaonan

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