UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
47%
Rodriguez
53%
Xiaonan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marina
Marina Rodriguez
17 – 6
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Yan
Yan Xiaonan
19 – 5
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'5"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Xiaonan

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 47% vs Xiaonan at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Xiaonan throws more volume but Rodriguez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Rodriguez's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez
Xiaonan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"+
Reach
63"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Xiaonan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.6
54.2
41.7
Performance Avg
45.0
34
Quality of Victory
29
83
Momentum Score
100
Rodriguez
Xiaonan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
12
10
Body
1
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
34Distance16
6Clinch2
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Xiaonan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Xiaonan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Rodriguez
Xiaonan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Rodriguez
Xiaonan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
11%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodriguez
Xiaonan
Striking3.9 / 2.5Volume6.8 / 8.5Grappling1.7 / 2.1Wrestling1.2 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 2.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Rodriguez
Strike Zones
Xiaonan
Rodriguez
Attacking
28HEAD10BODY2LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY5LEGS18 absorbed
Xiaonan
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY5LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD10BODY2LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (70% of attacks) — Xiaonan absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Xiaonan targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodriguez
RND
Xiaonan
0/0R00/0

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.2W5.8L5.4W4.5W5.7W5.5W3.8L6.2L5.2W6.3L6.4L4.0L2019-032021-052023-052025-05
WinLossTrend

Xiaonan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.6W4.5W4.5W3.0L6.2L5.7W5.8W7.3L5.2W6.2L2017-112020-022022-102025-04
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Xiaonan · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R5
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

News & Media

Marina Rodriguez · Yan Xiaonan
← Back to fights