★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
Vancouver, Canada
14 Jun 2014
Flyweight
VS
62%
Johnson
38%
Bagautinov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
DJ
Demetrious Johnson
"Mighty Mouse"
27 – 3
5'3"66" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 25
AB
Ali Bagautinov
"Puncher"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Bagautinov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Johnson
Bagautinov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Bagautinov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.2
15.5
69.9
Performance Avg
41.6
58
Quality of Victory
31
85
Momentum Score
45
Johnson
Bagautinov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
3
12
Body
4
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance1
21Clinch8
0Ground0
Johnson
Bagautinov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Bagautinov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Johnson
Bagautinov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
45
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Bagautinov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Bagautinov
Striking3.1 / 3.6Volume6.0 / 7.1Grappling4.0 / 1.8Wrestling2.8 / 1.3Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Johnson
Strike Zones
Bagautinov
Johnson
Attacking
12HEAD12BODY2LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Bagautinov
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD12BODY2LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (46% of attacks) — Bagautinov absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Bagautinov targets the body (44% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Bagautinov
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.0W4.5W5.1W7.0W4.5W6.5W4.6W5.2W5.5W7.0L2011-022013-012015-042017-102018-08
WinLossTrend

Bagautinov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5W4.6W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W7.0L2013-092014-022015-102016-11
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoRating 7
Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottRating 4.6
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04

Bagautinov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Geane HerreraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
John LinekerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Demetrious Johnson · Ali Bagautinov
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