UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
62%
Avila
38%
Kianzad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Avila
Avila holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Kianzad has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Avila has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Kianzad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kianzad has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Avila
Kianzad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
66"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Avila
Kianzad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.5
31.7
46.0
Performance Avg
33.2
43
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
45
Avila
Kianzad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.0
37%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
1
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance2
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Avila
Kianzad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Avila
Kianzad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/13 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Avila
Kianzad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Avila
Kianzad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Avila
Kianzad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.4
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
AvilaKianzad
Strike Zones
Avila
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedKianzad
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Avila targets the head (64% of attacks) — Kianzad absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Kianzad targets the head (50% of attacks) — Avila absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Avila
RND
Kianzad
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Avila · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Kianzad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Avila · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Miesha TateRating 4.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Sub · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Gina MazanyRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
Kianzad · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Macy ChiassonRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

