METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
59%
Avila
41%
Kianzad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Julia
Julia Avila
"Raging Panda"
94
5'7"68" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Pannie
Pannie Kianzad
"Banzai"
179
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'7"
CFR 32
★ Official Result
Julia AvilawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Pannie Kianzad · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Avila
Actual result
Avila wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Avila at 59% vs Kianzad at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Avila has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Risk flags

Kianzad has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AvilaKianzad
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Avila
Kianzad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
66"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Avila
Kianzad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
31.7
46.0
Performance Avg
33.2
43
Quality of Victory
25
53
Momentum Score
45
Avila
Kianzad
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
1.4
3.7
Style: Volume
8.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
1
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance2
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Avila
Kianzad
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Avila
Kianzad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Strikes absorbed / min
6/13 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Avila
Kianzad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Avila
Kianzad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Avila
Kianzad
Striking4.3 / 0.9Volume3.7 / 8.9Grappling3.5 / 2.4Wrestling2.4 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 1.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.4
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
Avila
Strike Zones
Kianzad
Avila
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Kianzad
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Avila targets the head (64% of attacks) — Kianzad absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Kianzad targets the head (50% of attacks) — Avila absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Avila
RND
Kianzad
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Avila · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline Cavalcanti
Decision
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L · Sub · R3
Miesha Tate
Submission
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W · Sub · R3
Julija Stoliarenko
Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Sijara Eubanks
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Gina Mazany
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06

Kianzad · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Karol Rosa
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Macy Chiasson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen Vieira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Lina Lansberg
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Raquel Pennington
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

News & Media

Julia Avila · Pannie Kianzad
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