UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira
Sao Paulo, Brazil
19 Nov 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
34%
Barroso
66%
Stewart
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stewart
Stewart holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Barroso has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stewart has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Stewart throws more volume but Barroso connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Barroso
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
46
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barroso
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
26.9
35.0
Performance Avg
42.3
25
Quality of Victory
43
55
Momentum Score
68
Barroso
Stewart
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.4
51%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
0Ground6
Barroso
Stewart
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barroso
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
46
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Barroso
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Barroso
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barroso
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
BarrosoStewart
Strike Zones
Barroso
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedStewart
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stewart targets the head (86% of attacks) — Barroso absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barroso
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
Barroso · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Barroso · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 5.5Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Darren StewartRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
Upcoming
Darren StewartUFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · Sub · R2
Nikita KrylovRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
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Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
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