METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Middleweight
VS
46%
Reese
54%
Bekoev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:04
★ Official Result
Azamat BekoevwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:04
def. Zach Reese · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bekoev
→
Actual result
Bekoev wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Reese at 46% vs Bekoev at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bekoev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Risk flags
Reese's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bekoev has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReeseBekoev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reese
Bekoev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
72"
32
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Reese
Bekoev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
60.6
43.9
Performance Avg
56.0
40
Quality of Victory
60
88
Momentum Score
58
Reese
Bekoev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
8.5
5.0
Style: Volume
1.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
16
0
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
1Clinch0
11Ground18
Reese
Bekoev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reese
Bekoev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Reese
Bekoev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
58
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Reese
Bekoev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reese
Bekoev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
ReeseBekoev
Strike Zones
Reese
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedBekoev
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reese targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bekoev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bekoev targets the head (76% of attacks) — Reese absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reese
RND
Bekoev
0/0R00/0
Reese · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan GandraKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraDecision
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W · Sub · R2
Jackson McVeySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
Upcoming
Sedriques DumasNoche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Dusko TodorovicDecision
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Bekoev · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Tresean GoreSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Yousri BelgarouiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Ryan LoderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Zach ReeseKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01