UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2023
Lightweight
VS
46%
Herbert
54%
Klein
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jai
Jai Herbert
"Black Country Banger"
14 – 6
6'1"77" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Ludovit
Ludovit Klein
"Mr. Highlight"
24 – 5
Well-Rounded31 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'7"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Klein

This is a genuine toss-up — Herbert at 46% vs Klein at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Klein has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Herbert's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herbert
Klein
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
77"+
Reach
72"
38
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Herbert
Klein
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.6
58.8
43.3
Performance Avg
49.3
43
Quality of Victory
34
74
Momentum Score
99
Herbert
Klein
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
58%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
16
5
Body
7
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance19
4Clinch6
4Ground0
Herbert
Klein
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Herbert
Klein
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
12/29 fights
Herbert
Klein
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
99
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Herbert
Klein
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Herbert
Klein
Striking5.9 / 4.0Volume4.9 / 7.5Grappling1.2 / 1.8Wrestling0.8 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Herbert
Strike Zones
Klein
Herbert
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD7BODY2LEGS25 absorbed
Klein
Attacking
16HEAD7BODY2LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Herbert targets the head (47% of attacks) — Klein absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Klein targets the head (64% of attacks) — Herbert absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Herbert
RND
Klein
0/0R00/0

Herbert · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.0L3.5L5.0W5.1L4.6W6.7L4.5W7.3L5.0W2020-072022-032024-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Klein · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.5L4.7L4.5W5.5W5.8W5.0W4.7W4.7W6.6L5.1W2020-092022-032024-032025-052025-10
WinLossTrend

Herbert · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Mandel NalloRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris PadillaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Upcoming
Ludovit Klein
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

Klein · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
AJ CunninghamRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Jai Herbert · Ludovit Klein
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