UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Philadelphia, USA
30 Mar 2019
Bantamweight
VS
42%
Borg
58%
Kenney
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RB
Ray Borg
"The Tazmexican Devil"
13 – 5
5'4"63" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
CK
Casey Kenney
16 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'7"
CFR 26

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kenney

This is a genuine toss-up — Borg at 42% vs Kenney at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Kenney throws more volume but Borg connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Borg
Kenney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
63"
Reach
+68"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Borg
Kenney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
25.8
42.5
Performance Avg
43.5
32
Quality of Victory
31
89
Momentum Score
55
Borg
Kenney
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.6
56%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
2
Body
4
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance5
7Clinch4
0Ground0
Borg
Kenney
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borg
Kenney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
8/20 fights
Borg
Kenney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
55
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Borg
Kenney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Borg
Kenney
Striking1.2 / 1.3Volume6.9 / 7.7Grappling4.0 / 3.5Wrestling2.8 / 2.5Submission2.9 / 2.0Pressure3.8 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Borg
Strike Zones
Kenney
Borg
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Kenney
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Borg targets the head (63% of attacks) — Kenney absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Kenney targets the body (44% of attacks) — Borg absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Borg
RND
Kenney
0/0R00/0

Borg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W4.5W6.2L2014-042015-082017-032019-072020-05
WinLossTrend

Kenney · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W6.8L5.0W5.1W5.3W5.5L6.8L2019-032020-022020-102021-032021-08
WinLossTrend

Borg · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 4
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10

Kenney · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Dominick CruzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
W · Sub · R1
Louis SmolkaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05

News & Media

Ray Borg · Casey Kenney
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