METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Flyweight
VS
22%
Makovsky
78%
Elliott
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Zach MakovskywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Elliott · UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elliott
→
Actual result
Makovsky wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elliott is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Elliott has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakovskyElliott
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makovsky
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
+66"
43
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Makovsky
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.7
36.9
32.1
Performance Avg
38.0
25
Quality of Victory
33
15
Momentum Score
43
Makovsky
Elliott
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.3
Style: Pressure
3.5
8.9
Style: Volume
6.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch2
3Ground2
Makovsky
Elliott
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makovsky
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
26
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
23/36 fights
Makovsky
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Makovsky
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
30%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makovsky
Elliott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
MakovskyElliott
Strike Zones
Makovsky
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedElliott
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makovsky targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the head (75% of attacks) — Makovsky absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makovsky
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0
Makovsky · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizDecision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
John DodsonDecision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottDecision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
Elliott · Last 5
Upcoming
Edgar ChairezNoche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraSubmission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevSubmission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10