UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Flyweight
VS
23%
Makovsky
77%
Elliott
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ZM
Zach Makovsky
"Fun Size"
20 – 8
5'4"64" reachSouthpaw43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 11
Tim
Tim Elliott
22 – 14
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'7"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elliott

Elliott is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Elliott throws more volume but Makovsky connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Elliott has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Makovsky
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
64"
Reach
+66"
43
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Makovsky
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.7
36.8
32.1
Performance Avg
37.9
25
Quality of Victory
33
15
Momentum Score
43
Makovsky
Elliott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch2
3Ground2
Makovsky
Elliott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makovsky
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
26
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
22/36 fights
Makovsky
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Makovsky
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
30%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makovsky
Elliott
Striking0.9 / 0.9Volume8.9 / 6.5Grappling2.4 / 4.1Wrestling1.7 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 3.0Pressure1.3 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Makovsky
Strike Zones
Elliott
Makovsky
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Elliott
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Makovsky targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the head (75% of attacks) — Makovsky absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Makovsky
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0

Makovsky · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.6W5.5L5.5L5.5L2013-122014-082015-052016-12
WinLossTrend

Elliott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W2.6L5.5L3.5L4.5W4.5W5.7L5.6W4.6W5.4L5.6W5.2W6.1L2012-052016-122020-052023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Makovsky · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
John DodsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08

Elliott · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

News & Media

Zach Makovsky · Tim Elliott
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