METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Lightweight
VS
73%
Pettis
27%
Melendez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:53
★ Official Result
Anthony PettiswinsSubmissionR2 · 1:53
def. Gilbert Melendez · UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pettis
→
Actual result
Pettis wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Pettis is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pettis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Pettis's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PettisMelendez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pettis
Melendez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+73"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pettis
Melendez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
7.0
52.6
Performance Avg
20.7
51
Quality of Victory
25
72
Momentum Score
0
Pettis
Melendez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
0.4
4.0
Style: Volume
8.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance4
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Pettis
Melendez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pettis
Melendez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/34 fights
Chin rating based on
7/30 fights
Pettis
Melendez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Pettis
Melendez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pettis
Melendez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
PettisMelendez
Strike Zones
Pettis
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMelendez
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (93% of attacks) — Melendez absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Melendez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pettis
RND
Melendez
0/0R00/0
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Sub · R2
Diego FerreiraSubmission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Nate DiazDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Melendez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenDecision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensDecision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaDecision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Eddie AlvarezDecision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Anthony PettisSubmission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12