★ Championship Bout · Lightweight
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2014
Lightweight
VS
73%
Pettis
27%
Melendez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:53
AP
Anthony Pettis
"Showtime"
24 – 10
5'10"72" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
GM
Gilbert Melendez
"El Nino"
22 – 8
Well-Rounded5-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'9"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pettis

Pettis is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pettis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Pettis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Pettis's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pettis
Melendez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
72"
Reach
+73"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pettis
Melendez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
7.0
52.6
Performance Avg
20.7
51
Quality of Victory
25
72
Momentum Score
0
Pettis
Melendez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
30%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance4
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Pettis
Melendez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pettis
Melendez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
78
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/34 fights
Chin rating based on
7/30 fights
Pettis
Melendez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Pettis
Melendez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pettis
Melendez
Striking3.8 / 0.3Volume4.0 / 8.3Grappling3.8 / 2.4Wrestling2.6 / 1.7Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 0.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Pettis
Strike Zones
Melendez
Pettis
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Melendez
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (93% of attacks) — Melendez absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Melendez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pettis
RND
Melendez
0/0R00/0

Pettis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.0L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.1W5.7L5.5L6.0L6.9W3.8L4.9W4.1L6.0W3.3L5.7W5.5L3.8L4.5W4.5W2011-062014-122016-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Melendez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L4.5W2.1L5.5L6.0L6.0L6.9L2013-042014-122016-072019-07
WinLossTrend

Pettis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Sub · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Nate DiazRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

Melendez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 6
Decision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Eddie AlvarezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Anthony PettisRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12

News & Media

Anthony Pettis · Gilbert Melendez
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