UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sao Paulo, Brazil
7 Nov 2015
Middleweight
VS
61%
Belfort
39%
Henderson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Belfort
Belfort holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Henderson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Belfort has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Belfort's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Henderson has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Belfort
Henderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
49+
Age
55
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Belfort
Henderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
13.8
59.2
Performance Avg
49.5
59
Quality of Victory
49
91
Momentum Score
20
Belfort
Henderson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.7
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
11 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance3
2Clinch0
3Ground0
Belfort
Henderson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Belfort
Henderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
2
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/40 fights
Chin rating based on
18/47 fights
Belfort
Henderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
20
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Belfort
Henderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
87%
44%
11
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Belfort
Henderson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
1.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
BelfortHenderson
Strike Zones
Belfort
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedHenderson
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Belfort targets the head (83% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Henderson targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Belfort
RND
Henderson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Belfort · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Henderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Belfort · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin GastelumUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
Henderson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R2
Hector LombardRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01