UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
12 Nov 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
58%
Blanchfield
42%
McCann
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:37
Erin
Erin Blanchfield
"Cold Blooded"
14 – 2
5'4"66" reachOrthodox27 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Molly
Molly McCann
"Meatball"
14 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'4"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Blanchfield

This is a genuine toss-up — Blanchfield at 58% vs McCann at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: McCann throws more volume but Blanchfield connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

McCann has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Blanchfield
McCann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
62"
27+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blanchfield
McCann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
48.1
58.9
Performance Avg
42.6
39
Quality of Victory
38
89
Momentum Score
71
Blanchfield
McCann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
2
1
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance7
0Clinch0
18Ground0
Blanchfield
McCann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blanchfield
McCann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
46
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
14/22 fights
Blanchfield
McCann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
71
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Blanchfield
McCann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blanchfield
McCann
Striking1.8 / 3.9Volume5.8 / 5.6Grappling5.2 / 2.5Wrestling3.6 / 1.8Submission5.0 / 1.4Pressure6.2 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Blanchfield
Strike Zones
McCann
Blanchfield
Attacking
22HEAD1BODY2LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD3BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
McCann
Attacking
2HEAD3BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD1BODY2LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Blanchfield targets the head (88% of attacks) — McCann absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯McCann targets the body (43% of attacks) — Blanchfield absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Blanchfield
RND
McCann
0/0R00/0

Blanchfield · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0104.5W5.3W5.9W5.7W5.9W4.7W7.1L5.9W6.0W2021-092022-112024-032025-11
WinLossTrend

McCann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.5W4.5W4.5W5.7L5.5L4.5W6.1W5.1W3.0L1.8L5.0W5.5L3.1L2018-052020-072022-072024-072025-03
WinLossTrend

Blanchfield · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Tracy CortezRating 6
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Jessica AndradeRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02

McCann · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Alexia ThainaraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Julija StoliarenkoRating 1.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Erin BlanchfieldRating 3
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

News & Media

Erin Blanchfield · Molly McCann
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