UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Mexico City, Mexico
24 Feb 2024
Flyweight
VS
55%
Altamirano
45%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Victor
Victor Altamirano
"El Magnifico"
12 – 5
5'8"70" reachSwitch35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Felipe
Felipe dos Santos
"Lipe Detona"
8 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide25 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Altamirano

This is a genuine toss-up — Altamirano at 55% vs Santos at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Altamirano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Altamirano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Altamirano
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
35
Age
+25
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Altamirano
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.4
29.3
38.8
Performance Avg
25.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
28
Altamirano
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
35%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
12
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance15
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Altamirano
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Altamirano
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Altamirano
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
28
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Altamirano
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Altamirano
Santos
Striking5.7 / 0.5Volume4.7 / 8.5Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Altamirano
Strike Zones
Santos
Altamirano
Attacking
4HEAD12BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD12BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Altamirano targets the body (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (76% of attacks) — Altamirano absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Altamirano
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Altamirano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.6L5.5L5.5L2022-022022-082023-032023-062024-022024-09
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.3
0107.2L4.6W7.0L6.2L2023-092024-022024-092025-03
WinLossTrend

Altamirano · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniel BarezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Vinicius SalvadorRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · KO · R1
Daniel LacerdaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

Santos · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Andre LimaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Victor Altamirano · Felipe dos Santos
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