METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Boston, USA
18 Oct 2019
Middleweight
VS
42%
Winn
58%
Stewart
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Darren StewartwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Deron Winn · UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stewart
→
Actual result
Stewart wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Winn at 42% vs Stewart at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stewart has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Winn throws more volume but Stewart connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Winn's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WinnStewart
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Winn
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+74"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Winn
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
26.9
31.0
Performance Avg
42.3
25
Quality of Victory
43
55
Momentum Score
68
Winn
Stewart
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
22
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance16
0Clinch0
1Ground6
Winn
Stewart
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Winn
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/10 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Winn
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
68
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Winn
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Winn
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
WinnStewart
Strike Zones
Winn
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedStewart
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Winn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Stewart targets the head (100% of attacks) — Winn absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Winn
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
Winn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Winn · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Phil HawesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Antonio ArroyoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.1Submission
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren StewartRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Eric SpicelyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08