METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Newark, USA
6 May 2023
Middleweight
VS
50%
Holmes
50%
Ribeiro
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:21
★ Official Result
Claudio RibeirowinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:21
def. Joseph Holmes · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holmes
→
Actual result
Ribeiro wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holmes at 50% vs Ribeiro at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Holmes's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ribeiro has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HolmesRibeiro
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holmes
Ribeiro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
77"
31+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holmes
Ribeiro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
35.7
42.4
Performance Avg
43.0
54
Quality of Victory
55
29
Momentum Score
43
Holmes
Ribeiro
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
7.8
0.5
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
16
0
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch1
0Ground12
Holmes
Ribeiro
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holmes
Ribeiro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
34
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Holmes
Ribeiro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Holmes
Ribeiro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holmes
Ribeiro
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HolmesRibeiro
Strike Zones
Holmes
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedRibeiro
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holmes targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Ribeiro absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Ribeiro targets the head (89% of attacks) — Holmes absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holmes
RND
Ribeiro
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holmes · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Claudio RibeiroKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · Sub · R2
JunYong ParkSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Alen AmedovskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Ribeiro · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Roman KopylovKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Joseph HolmesKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R2
Abdul Razak AlhassanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01