UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Calgary, Canada
21 Jul 2012
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Delorme
52%
Rivera
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rivera
This is a genuine toss-up — Delorme at 48% vs Rivera at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rivera has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Delorme
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Delorme
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
18.7
44.8
Performance Avg
45.2
41
Quality of Victory
49
48
Momentum Score
69
Delorme
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
39
3
Body
1
7
Leg
12
RangeRange
15Distance48
1Clinch2
0Ground2
Delorme
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.6
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Delorme
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
58
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Delorme
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
69
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Delorme
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Delorme
Rivera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
DelormeRivera
Strike Zones
Delorme
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedRivera
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Delorme targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the head (75% of attacks) — Delorme absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Delorme
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Delorme · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Delorme · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Yuta SasakiRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Michinori TanakaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Edwin FigueroaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Francisco RiveraUFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
Rivera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Erik PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Sub · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5Submission
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · KO · R1
Alex CaceresRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12