METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Middleweight
VS
93%
Gautier
7%
Vines
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:41
★ Official Result
Ateba GautierwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:41
def. Tre'ston Vines · UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gautier
→
Actual result
Gautier wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Gautier is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 72 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gautier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GautierVines
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gautier
Vines
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
81"+
Reach
79"
24+
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gautier
Vines
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
78.0
6.2
71.2
Performance Avg
0.0
52
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Gautier
Vines
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
—
48%
Strike Accuracy
0%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
4Clinch0
1Ground0
Gautier
Vines
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Gautier
Vines
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
1/14 fights
Gautier
Vines
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gautier
Vines
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gautier
Vines
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GautierVines
Strike Zones
Gautier
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedVines
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gautier targets the head (67% of attacks) — Vines absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gautier
RND
Vines
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gautier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Gautier · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Ozzy DiazRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Andrey PulyaevRating 5.6Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tre'ston VinesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Robert ValentinRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
Vines · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Ateba GautierRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10