UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Middleweight
VS
93%
Gautier
7%
Vines
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:41
Ateba
Ateba Gautier
"The Storm"
11 – 1
6'4"81" reachSwitch24 yrs5-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 78
Tre'ston
Tre'ston Vines
"TVTime"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded29 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'1"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gautier

Gautier is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 72 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gautier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.

Gautier
Vines
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
81"+
Reach
79"
24+
Age
29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gautier
Vines
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
78.0
6.2
71.2
Performance Avg
0.0
52
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Gautier
Vines
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
—
48%
Strike Accuracy
0%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
4Clinch0
1Ground0
Gautier
Vines
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Gautier
Vines
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
1/14 fights
Gautier
Vines
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gautier
Vines
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gautier
Vines
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume3.6 / 0.0Grappling0.5 / 0.0Wrestling0.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.6 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Gautier
Strike Zones
Vines
Gautier
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Vines
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gautier targets the head (67% of attacks) — Vines absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gautier
RND
Vines
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gautier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.6W5.0W5.6W5.2W2025-032025-072025-102026-012026-05
WinLossTrend

Gautier · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Ozzy DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Andrey PulyaevRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tre'ston VinesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Robert ValentinRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

Vines · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Ateba GautierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10

News & Media

Ateba Gautier · Tre'ston Vines
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