UFC 50: The War Of '04
Atlantic City, USA
22 Oct 2004
Light Heavyweight
VS
56%
Ortiz
44%
Cote
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ortiz
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 56% vs Cote at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Ortiz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ortiz's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cote has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ortiz
Cote
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
+75"
51
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Cote
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
16.1
57.3
Performance Avg
41.8
57
Quality of Victory
38
85
Momentum Score
79
Ortiz
Cote
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch1
10Ground0
Ortiz
Cote
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ortiz
Cote
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/31 fights
Chin rating based on
21/34 fights
Ortiz
Cote
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
79
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ortiz
Cote
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
40%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Cote
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
OrtizCote
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedCote
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cote targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Cote
0/0R00/0
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Cote · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Cote · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04