METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
7%
Ronson
93%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kevin LeewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jesse Ronson · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Lee wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lee is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Risk flags
Ronson's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RonsonLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ronson
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+77"
40
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ronson
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.6
35.2
0.0
Performance Avg
48.3
0
Quality of Victory
42
0
Momentum Score
53
Ronson
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
5.6
0.0
Style: Volume
4.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
13
1
Body
5
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance12
1Clinch1
0Ground5
Ronson
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.6
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ronson
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/33 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Ronson
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
53
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Ronson
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
55%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ronson
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
RonsonLee
Strike Zones
Ronson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedLee
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ronson targets the head (69% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (72% of attacks) — Ronson absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ronson
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Ronson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joaquim SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Rafa GarciaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
Upcoming
Nicolas DalbyUFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
Lee · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieKO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05