METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
7%
Ronson
93%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kevin LeewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jesse Ronson · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lee
→
Actual result
Lee wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lee is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Ronson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ronson's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RonsonLee
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ronson
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+77"
40
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ronson
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.6
35.2
0.0
Performance Avg
48.3
0
Quality of Victory
42
0
Momentum Score
53
Ronson
Lee
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
13
1
Body
5
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance12
1Clinch1
0Ground5
Ronson
Lee
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ronson
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/33 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Ronson
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
53
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Ronson
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
55%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ronson
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
RonsonLee
Strike Zones
Ronson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedLee
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ronson targets the head (69% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (72% of attacks) — Ronson absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ronson
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Ronson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Ronson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joaquim SilvaRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Rafa GarciaRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
Upcoming
Nicolas DalbyUFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
Lee · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05