METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Welterweight
VS
87%
Pierce
13%
Alves
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:11
★ Official Result
Mike PiercewinsSubmissionR3 · 3:11
def. Amilcar Alves · UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pierce
→
Actual result
Pierce wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pierce is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pierce has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Pierce has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PierceAlves
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pierce
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
45
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pierce
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
2.4
48.0
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
38
Momentum Score
0
Pierce
Alves
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Pierce
Alves
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pierce
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/27 fights
Pierce
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Pierce
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pierce
Alves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PierceAlves
Strike Zones
Pierce
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedAlves
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pierce targets the head (86% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Pierce absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pierce
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
Pierce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Pierce · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
David MitchellRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Seth BaczynskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
Alves · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Mike PierceRating 4Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08