UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Middleweight
VS
40%
Romero
60%
Rockhold
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rockhold
Rockhold holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Romero has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rockhold has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Rockhold has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Rockhold has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Romero
Rockhold
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
49
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Romero
Rockhold
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.0
35.5
56.4
Performance Avg
60.7
48
Quality of Victory
65
100
Momentum Score
85
Romero
Rockhold
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
62%
9.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
2
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance10
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Romero
Rockhold
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Romero
Rockhold
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
10
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/18 fights
Chin rating based on
11/22 fights
Romero
Rockhold
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Romero
Rockhold
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Romero
Rockhold
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
RomeroRockhold
Strike Zones
Romero
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRockhold
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Romero targets the head (64% of attacks) — Rockhold absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Rockhold targets the head (90% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Romero
RND
Rockhold
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Romero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Rockhold · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Romero · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.9Decision
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
W · KO · R3
Luke RockholdRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
Rockhold · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R2
David BranchRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Michael BispingRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06