METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jul 2024
Flyweight
VS
42%
Durden
58%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:58
★ Official Result
Bruno SilvawinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:58
def. Cody Durden · UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Silva wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Durden at 42% vs Silva at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Durden's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DurdenSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Durden
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
65"
35+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Durden
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
50.6
37.6
Performance Avg
49.9
34
Quality of Victory
53
54
Momentum Score
39
Durden
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
6.9
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
8.4
6.6
Style: Volume
0.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
18
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground17
Durden
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Durden
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Durden
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
39
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
Durden
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Durden
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
DurdenSilva
Strike Zones
Durden
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedSilva
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Durden targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (90% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Durden
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Durden · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
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