UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Newark, USA
3 Aug 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
30%
Granger
70%
Goldy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Goldy
Goldy is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Goldy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Striking split: Goldy throws more volume but Granger connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Granger
Goldy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
61"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Granger
Goldy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.2
36.1
25.0
Performance Avg
40.4
25
Quality of Victory
54
28
Momentum Score
39
Granger
Goldy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
2
Body
9
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance15
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Granger
Goldy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Granger
Goldy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
5/10 fights
Granger
Goldy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
39
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Granger
Goldy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Granger
Goldy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
GrangerGoldy
Strike Zones
Granger
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedGoldy
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Granger targets the head (59% of attacks) — Goldy absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Goldy targets the body (50% of attacks) — Granger absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Granger
RND
Goldy
0/0R00/0
Granger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Goldy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Granger · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Cory McKennaRating 3.3Submission
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
Goldy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
MizukiRating 6.3Decision
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L · KO · R1
Molly McCannRating 2.2KO/TKO
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Emily WhitmireRating 5Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08