UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Duluth, USA
15 Jan 2014
Middleweight
VS
82%
Smith
18%
Houston
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Smith
Smith is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smith
Houston
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Houston
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
2.4
31.7
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Smith
Houston
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
27%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
3
Body
0
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
22Distance10
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Smith
Houston
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Houston
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Smith
Houston
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Smith
Houston
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Houston
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SmithHouston
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedHouston
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (52% of attacks) — Houston absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Houston targets the head (70% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Houston
0/0R00/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Houston · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
Houston · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11