METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Duluth, USA
15 Jan 2014
Middleweight
VS
82%
Smith
18%
Houston
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TS
Trevor Smith
"Hot Sauce"
1510
6'3"75" reachOrthodox45 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 11
BH
Brian Houston
"B-Hue"
46
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Trevor SmithwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brian Houston · UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
Actual result
Smith wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Smith is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Risk flags

Smith's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SmithHouston
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Smith
Houston
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Houston
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
2.4
31.7
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Smith
Houston
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.8
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
3
Body
0
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
22Distance10
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Smith
Houston
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Houston
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Smith
Houston
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Smith
Houston
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
Houston
Striking0.8 / 0.0Volume8.8 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Smith
Strike Zones
Houston
Smith
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY8LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Houston
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY8LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (52% of attacks) — Houston absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Houston targets the head (70% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
Houston
0/0R00/0

Smith · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Makhmud Muradov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Zak Cummings
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Elias Theodorou
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chris Camozzi
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew Sanchez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12

Houston · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Trevor Smith
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
Derek Brunson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11

News & Media

Trevor Smith · Brian Houston
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