UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Philadelphia, USA
6 Aug 2011
Featherweight
VS
51%
Brown
49%
Phan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brown
This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 51% vs Phan at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Phan throws more volume but Brown connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown
Phan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
70"
50
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Phan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.2
10.6
28.3
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
35
Brown
Phan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.9
57%
Strike Accuracy
39%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
10
3
Body
3
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance13
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Brown
Phan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Phan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/35 fights
Chin rating based on
8/38 fights
Brown
Phan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
35
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Brown
Phan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Phan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
BrownPhan
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedPhan
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (50% of attacks) — Phan absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Phan targets the head (77% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Phan
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Phan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Steven SilerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
Phan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vaughan LeeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Takeya MizugakiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Dennis SiverRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Dec · R3
Jimy HettesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12