UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Sydney, Australia
8 Feb 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
65%
Cong
35%
Brasil
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cong
Cong holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Brasil has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Cong throws more volume but Brasil connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Cong
Brasil
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"+
Reach
65"
34
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cong
Brasil
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
32.6
52.2
Performance Avg
30.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
99
Momentum Score
40
Cong
Brasil
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
7
9
Body
6
12
Leg
1
RangeRange
38Distance13
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Cong
Brasil
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cong
Brasil
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/10 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Cong
Brasil
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
40
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cong
Brasil
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cong
Brasil
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
CongBrasil
Strike Zones
Cong
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedBrasil
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cong targets the head (45% of attacks) — Brasil absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Brasil targets the head (50% of attacks) — Cong absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cong
RND
Brasil
0/0R00/0
Cong · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Brasil · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Cong · Last 5
Upcoming
Tracy CortezUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 4.5Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gabriella FernandesRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
Brasil · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexia ThainaraRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Shi MingRating 6.9Decision
UFC - Road to UFC 4.6 · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Molly McCannRating 5.2Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

