METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
San Antonio, USA
13 Sept 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
56%
Suarez
44%
Lemos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tatiana SuarezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Amanda Lemos · UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Suarez
→
Actual result
Suarez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Suarez at 56% vs Lemos at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Suarez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lemos has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SuarezLemos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Suarez
Lemos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
35+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Suarez
Lemos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.7
56.2
64.5
Performance Avg
49.6
48
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
85
Suarez
Lemos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.1
59%
Strike Accuracy
56%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
11
6
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance5
6Clinch3
0Ground5
Suarez
Lemos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Suarez
Lemos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/14 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Suarez
Lemos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Suarez
Lemos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Suarez
Lemos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
SuarezLemos
Strike Zones
Suarez
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedLemos
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Suarez targets the body (75% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lemos targets the head (85% of attacks) — Suarez absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Suarez
RND
Lemos
0/0R00/0
Suarez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Lemos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Suarez · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Loopy GodinezRating 5.7Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 7.3Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jessica AndradeRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Montana De La RosaRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
Lemos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 5.4Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R2
Virna JandirobaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02