METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
17 Oct 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Crute
46%
Bukauskas
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:01
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
20 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak32 yrsSwitch76" reach6'3"
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Jimmy CrutewinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:01
def. Modestas Bukauskas · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Crute
→
Actual result
Crute wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Crute at 54% vs Bukauskas at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Crute has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Crute's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bukauskas has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CruteBukauskas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Crute
Bukauskas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+76"
30+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Crute
Bukauskas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
55.8
56.7
Performance Avg
51.0
55
Quality of Victory
42
91
Momentum Score
94
Crute
Bukauskas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
8.8
Style: Pressure
5.8
1.2
Style: Volume
4.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
1
Body
2
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance7
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Crute
Bukauskas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Crute
Bukauskas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
10
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Crute
Bukauskas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
94
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Crute
Bukauskas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Crute
Bukauskas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
CruteBukauskas
Strike Zones
Crute
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedBukauskas
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Crute targets the head (47% of attacks) — Bukauskas absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Bukauskas targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Crute absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Crute
RND
Bukauskas
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Crute · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Ivan ErslanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Marcin PrachnioSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
Upcoming
Rodolfo BellatoDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Alonzo MenifieldSubmission
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Upcoming
Alonzo MenifieldDecision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Bukauskas · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Oumar SyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Christian EdwardsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Paul CraigKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ion CutelabaDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05