UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Aug 2020
Bantamweight
VS
23%
Saenz
77%
Martinez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:57
FS
Frankie Saenz
13 – 7
5'6"66" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
Jonathan
Jonathan Martinez
"Dragon"
19 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Martinez

Martinez is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Martinez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Martinez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Saenz's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Saenz
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
45
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Saenz
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
46.0
35.0
Performance Avg
48.3
25
Quality of Victory
36
75
Momentum Score
63
Saenz
Martinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Saenz
Martinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saenz
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Saenz
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Saenz
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saenz
Martinez
Striking1.0 / 5.3Volume9.0 / 6.1Grappling2.4 / 1.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Saenz
Strike Zones
Martinez
Saenz
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Martinez
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saenz targets the head (40% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Saenz absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saenz
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Saenz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.0L5.5L5.8W4.5W2.3L4.5L2014-082015-122017-122020-08
WinLossTrend

Martinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.5W5.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W3.6L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.8W5.9W6.7W6.0L7.2L2018-102020-082022-022023-102024-11
WinLossTrend

Saenz · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Marlon VeraRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Henry BrionesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Augusto MendesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Martinez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 6
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · KO · R2
Cub SwansonRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

News & Media

Frankie Saenz · Jonathan Martinez
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