METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Aug 2020
Bantamweight
VS
23%
Saenz
77%
Martinez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:57
★ Official Result
Jonathan MartinezwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:57
def. Frankie Saenz · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Martinez
→
Actual result
Martinez wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Martinez is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Martinez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Saenz's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SaenzMartinez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Saenz
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+70"
46
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Saenz
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
46.0
35.0
Performance Avg
48.3
25
Quality of Victory
36
75
Momentum Score
63
Saenz
Martinez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
4.8
9.0
Style: Volume
6.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Saenz
Martinez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saenz
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Saenz
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Saenz
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saenz
Martinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
SaenzMartinez
Strike Zones
Saenz
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMartinez
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saenz targets the head (40% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Saenz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saenz
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Saenz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jonathan MartinezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Henry BrionesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Augusto MendesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Martinez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Jose AldoDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Adrian YanezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · KO · R2
Cub SwansonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10