UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz
Rio Rancho, USA
15 Feb 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
95%
Clark
5%
Townsend
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Clark
Clark is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Clark has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Clark has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Clark's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Townsend has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Clark
Townsend
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+79"
36+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Clark
Townsend
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.7
1.5
35.7
Performance Avg
0.0
28
Quality of Victory
0
43
Momentum Score
0
Clark
Townsend
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
24%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Clark
Townsend
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Clark
Townsend
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/33 fights
Clark
Townsend
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Clark
Townsend
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Clark
Townsend
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ClarkTownsend
Strike Zones
Clark
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTownsend
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Clark targets the head (75% of attacks) — Townsend absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Townsend targets the head (100% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Clark
RND
Townsend
0/0R00/0
Clark · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Townsend · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Clark · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R2
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 4Submission
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Da Woon JungRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · KO · R3
William KnightRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
Townsend · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Dusko TodorovicRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Bevon LewisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R3
Dalcha LungiambulaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06