UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2017
Women's Bantamweight
VS
38%
Evans-Smith
62%
Vieira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AE
Ashlee Evans-Smith
"Rebel Girl"
6 – 6
5'8"67" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 26
Ketlen
Ketlen Vieira
"Fenomeno"
16 – 5
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vieira

Vieira holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Evans-Smith has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Evans-Smith throws more volume but Vieira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Evans-Smith's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Evans-Smith
Vieira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans-Smith
Vieira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.0
42.2
33.3
Performance Avg
43.7
33
Quality of Victory
28
26
Momentum Score
45
Evans-Smith
Vieira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.9
33%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
19
4
Body
3
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
15Distance21
3Clinch4
0Ground0
Evans-Smith
Vieira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans-Smith
Vieira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/12 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Evans-Smith
Vieira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Evans-Smith
Vieira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
10%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evans-Smith
Vieira
Striking4.0 / 1.3Volume6.0 / 8.5Grappling1.6 / 3.0Wrestling1.1 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 1.0Pressure3.3 / 2.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Evans-Smith
Strike Zones
Vieira
Evans-Smith
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY8LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY3LEGS25 absorbed
Vieira
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY3LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY8LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Evans-Smith targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Vieira absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Vieira targets the head (76% of attacks) — Evans-Smith absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evans-Smith
RND
Vieira
0/0R00/0

Evans-Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.1L4.5W5.8W5.9L1.5L4.5W5.9L6.0L6.5L2014-122017-042019-022023-07
WinLossTrend

Vieira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W2.3L4.5W5.6L5.4W4.6W6.1L4.5W7.6L5.8W6.0L5.4W2016-102019-122022-052025-052026-05
WinLossTrend

Evans-Smith · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Bec RawlingsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R1
Sarah MorasRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

Vieira · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Kayla HarrisonRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

News & Media

Ashlee Evans-Smith · Ketlen Vieira
← Back to fights