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UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez
Belgrade, Serbia
1 Aug 2026
Heavyweight
VS
93%
Leka
7%
Poppeck
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 2:22
JL
Jovan Leka
14 – 2
6'4"75" reachOrthodox24 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 83
AP
Alexander Poppeck
"Ironside"
21 – 6
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 6
β˜… Official Result
Jovan LekawinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 2:22
def. Alexander Poppeck Β· UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leka
β†’
Actual result
Leka wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

Leka is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 77 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Leka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 60 points.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LekaPoppeck
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Leka
Poppeck
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
24+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leka
Poppeck
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.8
6.2
76.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Leka
Poppeck
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
10.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.0
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
1
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
6Distance8
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Leka
Poppeck
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
πŸ₯Š
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Leka
Poppeck
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
β€”
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
β€”
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
1/16 fights
Chin rating based on
1/27 fights
Leka
Poppeck
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
0
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
Leka
Poppeck
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leka
Poppeck
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume2.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Leka
Strike Zones
Poppeck
Leka
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY5LEGS8 absorbed
Poppeck
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY5LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leka targets the head (80% of attacks) β€” Poppeck absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Poppeck targets the legs (63% of attacks) β€” Leka absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Leka
RND
Poppeck
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Leka Β· Last 1

W Β· KO Β· R1
Alexander Poppeck
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez Β· 2026-08

Poppeck Β· Last 1

L Β· KO Β· R1
Jovan Leka
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez Β· 2026-08

News & Media

Jovan Leka Β· Alexander Poppeck
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