UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Adelaide, Australia
1 Dec 2018
Welterweight
VS
84%
Nakamura
16%
Touahri
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KN
Keita Nakamura
"K-Taro"
34 – 10
5'11"73" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
ST
Salim Touahri
"Grizzly"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nakamura

Nakamura is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nakamura has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.

Touahri has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Nakamura
Touahri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
72"
42
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nakamura
Touahri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
2.6
36.2
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
26
Momentum Score
0
Nakamura
Touahri
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.9
37%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
4
0
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance5
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Nakamura
Touahri
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nakamura
Touahri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/44 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Nakamura
Touahri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nakamura
Touahri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nakamura
Touahri
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume4.7 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Nakamura
Strike Zones
Touahri
Nakamura
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Touahri
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nakamura targets the head (81% of attacks) — Touahri absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Touahri targets the head (57% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nakamura
RND
Touahri
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nakamura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5L5.5L6.3W5.5L5.2W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2006-122015-092016-102018-122019-04
WinLossTrend

Touahri · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.7L5.5L6.0L2017-102018-122019-08
WinLossTrend

Nakamura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sultan AlievRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Salim TouahriRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

Touahri · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Keita NakamuraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Warlley AlvesRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10

News & Media

Keita Nakamura · Salim Touahri
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