UFC 85: Bedlam
London, United Kingdom
7 Jun 2008
Lightweight
VS
46%
Wiman
54%
Tavares
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:57
MW
Matt Wiman
16 – 10
5'10"68" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
TT
Thiago Tavares
21 – 7
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tavares

This is a genuine toss-up — Wiman at 46% vs Tavares at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Wiman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Wiman's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Wiman
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wiman
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
18.0
46.3
Performance Avg
48.8
40
Quality of Victory
42
54
Momentum Score
81
Wiman
Tavares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
5
5
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
7Clinch4
3Ground0
Wiman
Tavares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wiman
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Wiman
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
81
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Wiman
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
5
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wiman
Tavares
Striking3.1 / 2.2Volume5.1 / 4.4Grappling3.6 / 5.0Wrestling2.5 / 3.5Submission3.0 / 5.0Pressure5.2 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Wiman
Strike Zones
Tavares
Wiman
Attacking
11HEAD5BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Tavares
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD5BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wiman targets the head (69% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (71% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wiman
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Wiman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.0L6.2L3.0L2006-052008-122011-072019-062020-12
WinLossTrend

Tavares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.4L5.5W3.3L2007-042008-092012-012015-112016-07
WinLossTrend

Wiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis PenaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

Tavares · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dooho ChoiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R1
Robert PeraltaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Sub · R1
Justin SalasRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11

News & Media

Matt Wiman · Thiago Tavares
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