METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Berlin, Germany
20 Jun 2015
Lightweight
VS
86%
Hein
14%
Sajewski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nick HeinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Lukasz Sajewski · UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hein
→
Actual result
Hein wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hein is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hein has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Sajewski throws more volume but Hein connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hein's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sajewski has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HeinSajewski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hein
Sajewski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
66"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hein
Sajewski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.7
1.8
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
20
Momentum Score
0
Hein
Sajewski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.5
38%
Strike Accuracy
36%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
6
3
Body
4
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
28Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hein
Sajewski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hein
Sajewski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Hein
Sajewski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hein
Sajewski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hein
Sajewski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HeinSajewski
Strike Zones
Hein
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSajewski
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hein targets the head (79% of attacks) — Sajewski absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Sajewski targets the head (55% of attacks) — Hein absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hein
RND
Sajewski
0/0R00/0
Hein · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Sajewski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Hein · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Frank CamachoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Sub · R1
Davi RamosRating 1.5Submission
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Tae Hyun BangRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
W · Dec · R3
Yusuke KasuyaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Sajewski · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Marc DiakieseRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Nick HeinRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06