The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Jul 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
6%
Magana
94%
Waterson-Gomez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:38

Michelle Waterson-Gomez
"The Karate Hottie"
18 – 13
Well-Rounded5-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'3"
CFR 27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Waterson-Gomez
Waterson-Gomez is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Waterson-Gomez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Waterson-Gomez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Magana's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Waterson-Gomez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Magana
Waterson-Gomez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'3"
65"+
Reach
62"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magana
Waterson-Gomez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.8
26.5
0.0
Performance Avg
36.8
0
Quality of Victory
35
0
Momentum Score
0
Magana
Waterson-Gomez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
1.3
15%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
12
0
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance11
0Clinch1
0Ground5
Magana
Waterson-Gomez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magana
Waterson-Gomez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/31 fights
Magana
Waterson-Gomez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
Magana
Waterson-Gomez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magana
Waterson-Gomez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
MaganaWaterson-Gomez
Strike Zones
Magana
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedWaterson-Gomez
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magana targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Waterson-Gomez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Waterson-Gomez targets the head (71% of attacks) — Magana absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magana
RND
Waterson-Gomez
0/0R00/0
Magana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Waterson-Gomez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Magana · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Amanda CooperRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
L · Sub · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
Waterson-Gomez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Marina RodriguezRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05