UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Featherweight
VS
51%
Wood
49%
Fili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00

CFR 51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wood
This is a genuine toss-up — Wood at 51% vs Fili at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Wood has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fili has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wood
Fili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wood
Fili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
48.8
50.2
Performance Avg
42.0
31
Quality of Victory
35
60
Momentum Score
100
Wood
Fili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
16
5
Body
5
19
Leg
3
RangeRange
37Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Wood
Fili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wood
Fili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/29 fights
Chin rating based on
26/38 fights
Wood
Fili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
100
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Wood
Fili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
31%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wood
Fili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
WoodFili
Strike Zones
Wood
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedFili
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the legs (51% of attacks) — Fili absorbs 51% of strikes there
🎯Fili targets the head (67% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wood
RND
Fili
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Wood · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Fili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Wood · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Losene KeitaRating 4.5Decision
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Fili · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 7Decision
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