METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Las Vegas, USA
12 Aug 2023
Lightweight
VS
67%
McKinney
33%
Breeden
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:25
★ Official Result
Terrance McKinneywinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:25
def. Mike Breeden · UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McKinney
→
Actual result
McKinney wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
McKinney holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Breeden has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
McKinney's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Breeden has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McKinneyBreeden
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McKinney
Breeden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
31+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
McKinney
Breeden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.9
32.0
57.5
Performance Avg
40.0
58
Quality of Victory
50
98
Momentum Score
22
McKinney
Breeden
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
8.7
Style: Pressure
7.8
1.1
Style: Volume
0.5
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
0
7
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance1
11Clinch0
3Ground0
McKinney
Breeden
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McKinney
Breeden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
McKinney
Breeden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
22
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
McKinney
Breeden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McKinney
Breeden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
McKinneyBreeden
Strike Zones
McKinney
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBreeden
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McKinney targets the head (77% of attacks) — Breeden absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Breeden targets the body (100% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McKinney
RND
Breeden
0/0R00/0
McKinney · Last 5
L · KO · R1
King GreenKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanSubmission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevSubmission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
Breeden · Last 4
W · KO · R3
Anshul JubliKO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Natan LevyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10