UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Las Vegas, USA
12 Aug 2023
Lightweight
VS
67%
McKinney
33%
Breeden
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McKinney
McKinney holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Breeden has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McKinney has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McKinney's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Breeden has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McKinney
Breeden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
31+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
McKinney
Breeden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.7
32.0
59.3
Performance Avg
40.0
58
Quality of Victory
50
98
Momentum Score
22
McKinney
Breeden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
5.1
3.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
52%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
0
7
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance1
11Clinch0
3Ground0
McKinney
Breeden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McKinney
Breeden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
McKinney
Breeden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
22
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
McKinney
Breeden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McKinney
Breeden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
McKinneyBreeden
Strike Zones
McKinney
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBreeden
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McKinney targets the head (77% of attacks) — Breeden absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Breeden targets the body (100% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McKinney
RND
Breeden
0/0R00/0
McKinney · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Breeden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
McKinney · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanRating 2.8Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.5Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · KO · R1
Esteban RibovicsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Breeden · Last 4
W · KO · R3
Anshul JubliRating 7.4KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Natan LevyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10