UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
19 Feb 2022
Lightweight
VS
48%
Miller
52%
Motta
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Motta
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 48% vs Motta at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Motta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Motta has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Motta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Motta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
47.4
51.5
Performance Avg
49.0
45
Quality of Victory
48
28
Momentum Score
41
Miller
Motta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
5
1
Body
1
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance7
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Miller
Motta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Motta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Miller
Motta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
41
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Miller
Motta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
67%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Motta
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
MillerMotta
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMotta
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (73% of attacks) — Motta absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Motta targets the head (71% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Motta
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Motta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Motta · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nazim SadykhovRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
MaheshateRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Tom NolanRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Trey OgdenUFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

