UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2018
Welterweight
VS
28%
Millender
72%
Griffin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CM
Curtis Millender
"Curtious"
17 – 5
6'2"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
Max
Max Griffin
"Pain"
20 – 13
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach5'11"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Griffin

Griffin is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Millender has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Griffin has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Millender
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
76"
Reach
76"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Millender
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
46.4
45.0
Performance Avg
39.0
35
Quality of Victory
37
70
Momentum Score
74
Millender
Griffin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
10
2
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance14
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Millender
Griffin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Millender
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Millender
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Millender
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Millender
Griffin
Striking4.5 / 4.6Volume6.5 / 5.8Grappling1.6 / 1.5Wrestling1.1 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Millender
Strike Zones
Griffin
Millender
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY2LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Griffin
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY2LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Millender targets the head (79% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (67% of attacks) — Millender absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Millender
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0

Millender · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.1W4.5W2.0L6.6L2018-022018-072018-122019-032019-04
WinLossTrend

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.3L5.0W6.0L4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L7.0W5.4W4.5W6.1L4.6W7.6L5.9W4.8L6.2L6.8L2016-082019-022021-032024-022026-04
WinLossTrend

Millender · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
L · Sub · R1
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

Griffin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesRating 7.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

News & Media

Curtis Millender · Max Griffin
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