METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2018
Welterweight
VS
28%
Millender
72%
Griffin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Curtis MillenderwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Max Griffin · UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Griffin
→
Actual result
Millender wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Griffin is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Griffin has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillenderGriffin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Millender
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
76"
Reach
76"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Millender
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
46.4
45.0
Performance Avg
39.0
35
Quality of Victory
37
70
Momentum Score
74
Millender
Griffin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
3.9
6.5
Style: Volume
5.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
10
2
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance14
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Millender
Griffin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Millender
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/22 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Millender
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Millender
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Millender
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
MillenderGriffin
Strike Zones
Millender
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Millender targets the head (79% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (67% of attacks) — Millender absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Millender
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
Millender · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Siyar BahadurzadaDecision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinDecision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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