METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Las Vegas, USA
15 Nov 2008
Lightweight
VS
48%
Riley
52%
Gurgel
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aaron RileywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jorge Gurgel · UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gurgel
→
Actual result
Riley wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Riley at 48% vs Gurgel at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Riley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Riley's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RileyGurgel
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Riley
Gurgel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
69"
45+
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Riley
Gurgel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.4
12.5
28.3
Performance Avg
32.1
25
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
45
Riley
Gurgel
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
0.9
32%
Strike Accuracy
28%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
7
9
Body
8
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance12
15Clinch4
2Ground0
Riley
Gurgel
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riley
Gurgel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/44 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Riley
Gurgel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Riley
Gurgel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riley
Gurgel
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
RileyGurgel
Strike Zones
Riley
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedGurgel
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riley targets the head (70% of attacks) — Gurgel absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Gurgel targets the body (50% of attacks) — Riley absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riley
RND
Gurgel
0/0R00/0
Riley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Gurgel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Riley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Justin SalasRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · R1
Tony FergusonRating 4.5UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Joe BrammerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · R2
Ross PearsonRating 4.8UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Dec · R3
Shane NelsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
Gurgel · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aaron RileyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
L · Sub · R3
Cole MillerRating 4Submission
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
W · Dec · R3
John HalversonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
L · Dec · R3
Alvin RobinsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego SaraivaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07