METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Las Vegas, USA
15 Nov 2008
Lightweight
VS
48%
Riley
52%
Gurgel
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Aaron RileywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jorge Gurgel · UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gurgel
→
Actual result
Riley wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Riley at 48% vs Gurgel at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Riley's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RileyGurgel
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Riley
Gurgel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
69"
45+
Age
49
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Riley
Gurgel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.4
12.5
28.3
Performance Avg
32.1
25
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
45
Riley
Gurgel
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
1.3
8.7
Style: Volume
8.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
7
9
Body
8
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance12
15Clinch4
2Ground0
Riley
Gurgel
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riley
Gurgel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/44 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Riley
Gurgel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Riley
Gurgel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riley
Gurgel
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
RileyGurgel
Strike Zones
Riley
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedGurgel
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riley targets the head (70% of attacks) — Gurgel absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Gurgel targets the body (50% of attacks) — Riley absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riley
RND
Gurgel
0/0R00/0
Riley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Shane NelsonDecision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
Gurgel · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aaron RileyDecision
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
L · Sub · R3
Cole MillerSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
L · Dec · R3
Alvin RobinsonDecision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego SaraivaDecision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07