UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Featherweight
VS
53%
Moicano
47%
Tukhugov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moicano
This is a genuine toss-up — Moicano at 53% vs Tukhugov at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moicano's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moicano
Tukhugov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
68"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moicano
Tukhugov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
44.4
51.7
Performance Avg
48.4
43
Quality of Victory
39
64
Momentum Score
92
Moicano
Tukhugov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
4
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance13
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Moicano
Tukhugov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moicano
Tukhugov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Moicano
Tukhugov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
92
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
Moicano
Tukhugov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moicano
Tukhugov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
MoicanoTukhugov
Strike Zones
Moicano
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTukhugov
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moicano targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tukhugov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tukhugov targets the head (85% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moicano
RND
Tukhugov
0/0R00/0
Moicano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Tukhugov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Moicano · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Tukhugov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 6.3Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 4.6Decision
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · KO · R1
Kevin AguilarRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
Upcoming
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
