METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Prochazka
47%
Hill
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:01
★ Official Result
Jiri ProchazkawinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:01
def. Jamahal Hill · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Prochazka
→
Actual result
Prochazka wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Prochazka at 53% vs Hill at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Prochazka's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ProchazkaHill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Prochazka
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
80"+
Reach
79"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Prochazka
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
60.4
60.9
Performance Avg
54.2
57
Quality of Victory
50
98
Momentum Score
92
Prochazka
Hill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.7
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
9.0
Style: Pressure
6.5
1.3
Style: Volume
3.9
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
13
7
Body
7
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
21Distance13
6Clinch7
16Ground0
Prochazka
Hill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Prochazka
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
32
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Prochazka
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
92
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
Prochazka
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Prochazka
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
ProchazkaHill
Strike Zones
Prochazka
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedHill
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Prochazka targets the head (79% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (65% of attacks) — Prochazka absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Prochazka
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Prochazka · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergKO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R3
Jamahal HillKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R2
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Aleksandar RakicKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Hill · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khalil Rountree Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Glover TeixeiraDecision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R4
Thiago SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08